As we read on the New York Times, Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com runs an election-year statistics website. He ran an election simulator yesterday, to see what kind of probabilities exist heading into tomorrow's Presidential election, using all available poll data.
Silver found that after running the simulation 10,000 times, McCain won the election just 624 times (6.24%).
Drilling down to a state-by-state analysis, Silver found that in order for McCain to win, he'd have to win Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Indiana, Montana, Ohio and North Carolina. If he lost any one of those states, he'd lose the election to Obama.
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